What Are The Chances Of Missing A Penalty?
Penalties are often described as lotteries of football, but there is always a small chance of the goalkeeper denying the goal scorer a chance to score. Since 2009, there have been close to 10,000 penalties awarded, and 75.49% have resulted in goals and 17.57 saved by the goalkeeper.
When a penalty is awarded, everyone expects an easy conversion, and call a penalty taker is required to put the net behind the net without the goalkeeper getting on the ball first. Practically, the goalkeeper has 0.2 seconds to make a save before the ball crosses the goal line.
A huge number of goalkeepers rely on guesswork. If there is a 17.4% possibility of the penalty save or miss, it means no penalty is a sure bet to score.
The Importance of Penalties
Naturally, soccer is a low-scoring game, and any penalty awarded can make a huge difference between the winning and the losing team. There is a noticeable conversion rate between the regular ninety minutes penalty and those taken during shoot-out; the regular game conversion rate is 76%, while the shoot-out is 70%. The reason for this is that there is an added pressure on the shoot-out penalties. All the players, including the inexperienced players, are likely to take part in the shoot-out decided penalty kicks.For football gamblers, it is essential to know the teams that are likely to give away penalties and those that are likely to receive them. Below is a list showing the best for/against ratio across the five biggest European leagues.
| Team | Penalty For | Penalty Against | Ratio |
| Barcelona | 88 | 30 | 2.93 |
| Beyern Munich | 79 | 30 | 2.36 |
| Bournemouth | 43 | 17 | 2.53 |
| Chelsea | 79 | 37 | 2.14 |
| Napoli | 76 | 36 | 2.11 |
| Real Madrid | 91 | 44 | 2.07 |
| Man City | 74 | 36 | 2.06 |
| PSG | 67 | 34 | 1.97 |
| Borrusia Dortmund | 48 | 25 | 1.92 |
| Leicester | 37 | 20 | 1.85 |
What to Consider Before Betting on Penalties
Most players strike the ball either to the left or right of the goal post. The most successful penalty takers are the unpredictable players who mix up their penalty placements. One of the best all-time penalty takers is Matt Le Tissier, with a conversion rate of 98%. In today’s football setting, some of the best penalty takers include Harry Kane, Kun Aguero, Wayne Rooney, and Eden Hazard.When a penalty is awarded, the most likely odd ranges from 1.18 to 1.3, depending on the betting company. Before placing your bet on a team to score or lose a penalty, consider the penalty taker and the goalkeeper. Some keepers have high penalty saving rates than others. Apart from Thomas Sorensen, Mark Schwarzer, Brad Friedel, and Shay Given, no goalkeeper reached double digits for penalty saves in the EPL.
